Capital Market Chronicles – Episode 276: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – VOLUME PROFILE (Part I)

 🌟 Capital Market Chronicles – Episode 276: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – VOLUME PROFILE (Part I)

“Price tells you what. Volume tells you why.” 📊🧠

Most traders obsess over candles.

Green candle? Happiness.
Red candle? Existential crisis. 😄

But price alone is only half the story.

Volume Profile answers a deeper question:

👉 At what price levels did the real battle happen?

🔍 What is Volume Profile?

Volume Profile (also called Volume-by-Price) shows how much trading occurred at each price level, not over time.

Traditional volume says:
“10 lakh shares traded at 10:15 AM.”

Volume Profile says:
“Massive trading happened around ₹1,250.”

See the difference?

One measures activity by clock.
The other measures activity by conviction.

🧠 Why This Matters

Markets move because participants agree… and disagree.

• High volume at a price = strong agreement

• Low volume at a price = weak acceptance

High participation zones often become:

• Strong support

• Strong resistance

• Major turning points

Volume Profile helps you identify where the market said:

“This price matters.”

And in trading, what matters… moves.

Next: how this horizontal volume monster is built — and how to read it without feeling overwhelmed. 📊😄

⚠️ Disclaimer: This Blog is for general guidance only and does not replace personalised financial advice.

 🌐 Stay tuned to Our Blog  https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/home/blog — where we decode the stock market one laugh at a time. 😎💰

📖 Craving deeper dives and serious know-how (minus the financial snoozefest)? Surf over to: https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/ 

📚 Prefer your reading with chai in one hand and market wisdom in the other? Now available on Amazon Kindle

• Stock Market Decoded - A Beginner's Guide to Smart Investing by P. Shirley — perfect for sounding smarter than your portfolio at dinner parties.

• Money Money Money – Tickling You into an Investing Habit by P. Shirley — the nudge your lazy rupees have been waiting for. 

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Target Price & Expected Return Calculator

 🎯 Target Price & Expected Return Calculator

Because “Kitna Bechna Hai?” Shouldn’t Be a Guess 😄📈

Try It Now >>>> https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/stock-market-pedia-calculators/trading-calculators/target-price-expected-return-calculator

Let’s be honest.

Most traders know what they want from a trade…
but not what price they actually need to get there.

You buy a stock at ₹250 and think:

“If it goes to ₹275, I’ll book profits.”

Sounds reasonable.
Until charges enter the room like uninvited relatives. 😅

Brokerage.
STT.
Exchange charges.
GST.
Stamp duty.
DP charges.

Suddenly, your “nice little profit” quietly disappears.

That’s exactly why we built the Target Price & Expected Return Calculator is one of the 45 Stock Market Pedia calculators designed to bring clarity before the trade, not regret after it.

🤔 What This Calculator Really Answers

This calculator solves one painfully important question:

👉 “At what price do I ACTUALLY need to sell to earn my desired return?”

Not gross profit.
Not gut feeling.
Net return — after all charges.

It tells you:

• Your break-even price

• Your exact target price for a chosen return %

• Your true net profit, not the imaginary one in your head

No mental math.
No Excel gymnastics.
No “I think this should work”.

🧾 Charges: Because the Market Never Forgets to Collect

This calculator doesn’t ignore reality.

It includes all major Indian market charges on both buy and sell sides:

✔ Brokerage (percentage or flat)
✔ STT (delivery & intraday rules handled properly)
✔ Exchange transaction charges
✔ SEBI charges
✔ Stamp duty
✔ GST
✔ DP charges (for delivery sell)

In short, what you pay is what it calculates.

📦 Delivery or Intraday? The Calculator Knows the Difference

Markets don’t treat delivery and intraday the same — and neither does this tool.

🔁 Delivery Trades

• STT on both buy & sell

• Stamp duty on buy

• DP charges on sell

⚡ Intraday Trades

• Lower STT (sell side only)

• No DP charges

• Different stamp duty

You just select the trade type.
The calculator handles the math — quietly and correctly.

💰 Percentage Brokerage or Flat Brokerage? Try Both

Some brokers charge a percentage.
Some charge a flat fee per side.

Instead of guessing:

“Will flat brokerage be cheaper here?”

This calculator politely says:

“Try both. Numbers don’t lie.” 😄

Switch between brokerage types and instantly see how your target price changes.

📊 Break-Even Price: The Unsung Hero

Before dreaming of profits, one price matters more than anything:

👉 Break-even price

This is the price where:

• Your profit = ₹0

• Your ego is safe

• Your trade has officially “not failed” 😄

The calculator shows this clearly — so you know how much the stock must move just to cover costs.

Eye-opening? Usually, yes.

🔍 The Breakdown Table: Where Reality Hits Home

This is where traders pause… and stare.

The calculator shows a full charge-wise breakdown:

• Brokerage

• STT

• Exchange

• SEBI

• GST

• Stamp duty

• DP charges

Separated neatly into:

• Buy side

• Sell side

• Total impact

This is usually the moment people say:

“Wait… charges are THIS much?” 😲

Yes.
And now you know — before clicking Buy.

⚠️ What If My Target Isn’t Achievable?

The calculator is honest.

If your desired return % is not realistically achievable within reasonable price limits, it tells you upfront.

No false hope.
No magical targets.
Just a gentle reminder to:

• Lower expectations

• Re-check inputs

• Or rethink the trade

Markets reward clarity, not optimism alone.

🧠 Why This Calculator Is Sneakily Powerful

Because it quietly teaches you that:

✔ Small price moves don’t always mean small profits
✔ Charges matter more than you think
✔ Planning exits is as important as entering
✔ Hope is not a strategy — math is

It turns:

“I’ll sell around here…”

into:

“I need to sell exactly here.”

⚠️ A Small Disclaimer (Because We’re Responsible Adults)

This calculator is for educational and planning purposes only.

Markets fluctuate.
Returns are never guaranteed.
But informed decisions beat guesswork every single time.

🏁 Final Thought

Good traders don’t just ask:

“Will the price go up?”

They ask:

“At what price does this trade actually make sense?”

The Target Price & Expected Return Calculator gives you that answer - clearly, honestly, and without drama.

Because profits feel better when you know exactly why you earned them 😄📈

⚠️ Disclaimer: This Blog is for general guidance only and does not replace personalised financial advice.

 🌐 Stay tuned to Our Blog  https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/home/blog — where we decode the stock market one laugh at a time. 😎💰

📖 Craving deeper dives and serious know-how (minus the financial snoozefest)? Surf over to: https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/ 

📚 Prefer your reading with chai in one hand and market wisdom in the other? Now available on Amazon Kindle

• Stock Market Decoded - A Beginner's Guide to Smart Investing by P. Shirley — perfect for sounding smarter than your portfolio at dinner parties.

• Money Money Money – Tickling You into an Investing Habit by P. Shirley — the nudge your lazy rupees have been waiting for. 

Want to open an account with Mirae Asset Sharekhan? 

Got burning questions about bulls, bears, or bizarre market behaviour?

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 © 2025 Stock Market Pedia. All Rights Reserved

The Week That Was: (Feb 9–13, 2026)

 💹 The Week That Was (Feb 9–13, 2026)

(When the Bulls Danced… and Then IT Pulled the Plug 😅📉)

If markets had moods, this week would have been:
Monday–Tuesday: “We’re back, baby!” 😎
Friday: “Who turned off the lights?” 😳

Dalal Street started the week flexing. By Friday, it was doing damage control.

🟢 Early Week: Trade Hopes & Banking Boost

Monday and Tuesday were classic “risk-on” sessions.

Optimism around an India–US trade framework plus strong banking earnings lit the fuse 🔥.

• The BSE Sensex climbed back above 84,000.

• The Nifty 50 reclaimed key levels.

• PSU banks and metals strutted around like they owned the place.

Midcaps joined the party too. It was almost as if the market had decided:
“Last week’s sell-off? Never heard of it.” 😌

🔴 Mid-Week Mood Shift: Enter IT Anxiety

Then came the tech tremors.

The IT sector started wobbling — and when IT wobbles in India, indices don’t just wobble… they notice loudly.

The Nifty IT index slid sharply as AI disruption fears resurfaced.

Big names felt the heat:

• Tata Consultancy Services

• Infosys

• HCL Technologies

• Wipro

• Tech Mahindra

Investors suddenly remembered that AI isn’t just a buzzword — it’s disruption with a capital “D.” 🤖⚡

And markets do not like uncertainty.

📉 Friday the 13th (Yes, Really…)

By Friday (Feb 13), the mood had fully flipped.

The Sensex fell over 1,000 points.
The Nifty slipped below 25,500.

That’s not “minor volatility.”
That’s “everyone head for the exit — but in an orderly fashion please.” 🚪📉

Metals gave up early gains.
Consumer names slipped.
Cyclicals lost steam.

Even defensives didn’t escape entirely.

Heavyweights like:

• Hindustan Unilever

• Nestle India

• Kotak Mahindra Bank

• Adani Ports & SEZ

• Tata Steel

felt the pressure.

Market breadth? Weak.
Volatility? Spiking.
Confidence? Slightly bruised.

🌍 Global Backdrop: AI Nerves & Mixed Signals

Globally, it wasn’t exactly calm either.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 had mixed sessions. Some global gauges hit records early in the week — but tech volatility in the U.S. and Europe added nerves.

AI-related disruption stories rattled U.S. software and real estate counters.

Meanwhile, gold prices climbed — a polite way of saying:
“Some investors are quietly moving to safety.” 🏅

The result?
A global mood that shifted from “growth excitement” to “let’s not get carried away.”

And India followed suit.

🎯 Key Themes of the Week

1️⃣ Early Rally, Narrow Leadership

Banks and metals powered gains — but it wasn’t broad-based enough to sustain momentum.

2️⃣ IT as the Index Anchor (Not in a Good Way)

When IT sells off sharply, benchmarks struggle. This week proved it again.

3️⃣ Volatility Returns

India VIX rose. Traders got cautious. Position sizes shrank. Conviction thinned.

4️⃣ Sectoral Divergence

Financials started strong.
Defensives tried to cushion.
Tech dragged.
Cyclicals gave back gains.

🧭 The Takeaway

This was a week of two halves:

📈 Hope and momentum early on
📉 Reality check by Friday

The market showed once again that rallies built on selective strength can fade quickly when heavyweight sectors (like IT) crack.

For investors, the message is clear:

• Watch global tech sentiment closely.

• Monitor AI-driven narrative shifts.

• Pay attention to breadth, not just index levels.

Because Dalal Street this week reminded us:

The bulls may start the music…
But if IT pulls the plug, the dance floor empties fast. 😅📊

⚠️ Disclaimer: This Blog is for general guidance only and does not replace personalised financial advice.

 🌐 Stay tuned to Our Blog  https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/home/blog — where we decode the stock market one laugh at a time. 😎💰

📖 Craving deeper dives and serious know-how (minus the financial snoozefest)? Surf over to: https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/ 

📚 Prefer your reading with chai in one hand and market wisdom in the other? Now available on Amazon Kindle

• Stock Market Decoded - A Beginner's Guide to Smart Investing by P. Shirley — perfect for sounding smarter than your portfolio at dinner parties.

• Money Money Money – Tickling You into an Investing Habit by P. Shirley — the nudge your lazy rupees have been waiting for. 

Want to open an account with Mirae Asset Sharekhan? 

Got burning questions about bulls, bears, or bizarre market behaviour?

Ping us at: stockmarketpedia4u@gmail.com

WhatsApp:  8300840449

 © 2025 Stock Market Pedia. All Rights Reserved

Capital Market Chronicles – Episode 275: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – HARMONIC PATTERNS (Part V)

 🌟 Capital Market Chronicles – Episode 275: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – HARMONIC PATTERNS (Part V) 📐📊

“Powerful tool. Not a magic spell.” ⚠️✨

Harmonic Patterns can be incredibly effective —
But only if you approach them with discipline, humility, and patience.

The reward structure.
They punish ethe go.
And they have zero sympathy for traders who cut corners 😅.

🛠️ How to Use Harmonics Properly

✔ Identification – Let the Market Speak

• Allow price to complete the structure

• Never force symmetry just because you want a trade

• If ratios don’t align, walk away 🚶‍♂️📉

Harmonics are picky — and that’s a feature, not a flaw.

✔ Entry – Where It Actually Matters

• Entries are planned near Point D

• This is the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) — not the “jump in early and hope” zone

Patience here saves money. Impatience pays tuition fees 🎓😄.

✔ Confirmation – Trust, but Verify
Harmonics suggest.
Indicators confirm.

Use tools like:

• RSI divergence 📉

• Volume behaviour 🔊

• Candlestick structure 🕯️

• Broader trend context 🧭

No confirmation = no trade. Simple.

🛑 Risk Management (Absolutely Non-Negotiable)

✔ Place stop-loss beyond the invalidation level
✔ Size positions based on structure, not confidence
✔ Accept small losses cheerfully 😌

📌 Big losses usually mean:

• A forced pattern

• An early entry

• Or a rule conveniently “forgotten” 😬

Markets forgive nothing — but they teach generously.

🧠 Final Takeaway

Harmonic Patterns:

❌ Don’t predict certainty
❌ Don’t work on every chart
❌ Don’t forgive laziness

But when used correctly, they:

✔ Improve precision
✔ Define risk clearly
✔ Keep emotions on a tight leash 🐶

Harmonics don’t make money.
Indicators don’t make money.
Charts don’t make money.

Discipline does. 🧭📊

⚠️ Disclaimer: This Blog is for general guidance only and does not replace personalised financial advice.

 🌐 Stay tuned to Our Blog  https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/home/blog — where we decode the stock market one laugh at a time. 😎💰

📖 Craving deeper dives and serious know-how (minus the financial snoozefest)? Surf over to: https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/ 

📚 Prefer your reading with chai in one hand and market wisdom in the other? Now available on Amazon Kindle

• Stock Market Decoded - A Beginner's Guide to Smart Investing by P. Shirley — perfect for sounding smarter than your portfolio at dinner parties.

• Money Money Money – Tickling You into an Investing Habit by P. Shirley — the nudge your lazy rupees have been waiting for. 

Want to open an account with Mirae Asset Sharekhan? 

Got burning questions about bulls, bears, or bizarre market behaviour?

Ping us at: stockmarketpedia4u@gmail.com

WhatsApp:  8300840449

 © 2025 Stock Market Pedia. All Rights Reserved

Capital Market Chronicles – Episode 274: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – HARMONIC PATTERNS (Part IV)

 🌟 Capital Market Chronicles – Episode 274: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – HARMONIC PATTERNS (Part IV) 📐📊

“The deeper the retracement, the sharper the reversal.” 🦀📉

Welcome to advanced harmonic territory —

where patterns get deeper, emotions get louder, and mistakes get expensive 😅.

These formations usually appear after strong trends, when price stretches too far and traders start confusing momentum with immortality.

🦋 Butterfly Pattern – When Trends Run Out of Breath

The Butterfly pattern is designed to spot trend exhaustion.

📌 Key Feature:
👉 Point D extends beyond point X

Translation:
Price overshoots.
Late buyers panic-buy.
Early sellers get greedy.
And then… reality shows up uninvited 🚪📉.

This pattern is especially useful for:

✔ Exhaustion trades
✔ Counter-trend setups
✔ Fast, sharp reversals

But remember — butterflies look beautiful 🦋
until they trap impatient traders 😄.

🦀 Crab Pattern – Precision with Claws

The Crab pattern is famous (and feared) for its accuracy.

📌 Key Highlight:
👉 Point D ≈ 161.8% extension of XA

This deep extension signals extreme price stretch — often right before a violent reversal.

Why traders respect the Crab:

✔ Tight and logical stop-loss placement 🛑
✔ High reward-to-risk potential 🎯
✔ Explosive reversals when the structure is correct 💥

Miss the ratio though…
and the Crab pinches back 🦀😬.

🦞 Deep Crab Pattern – Maximum Stretch, Minimum Patience

The Deep Crab takes everything the Crab does…
and pushes it further.

📌 Key Feature:
👉 B ≈ 88.6% retracement of XA

This pattern basically whispers (sometimes shouts):
🗣️ “The trend is tired… but it’s not done hurting traders yet.”

Accuracy here is non-negotiable.
A sloppy Deep Crab is not a setup — it’s a lesson 😅.

🧠 Final Thought

Advanced harmonic patterns reward discipline and patience —
and punish hope, haste, and “close enough” thinking.

Respect the ratios.
Wait for completion.
Let price come to you.

📖 Next Episode:
How to actually trade harmonics — without worshipping them 🙏📊

⚠️ Disclaimer: This Blog is for general guidance only and does not replace personalised financial advice.

 🌐 Stay tuned to Our Blog  https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/home/blog — where we decode the stock market one laugh at a time. 😎💰

📖 Craving deeper dives and serious know-how (minus the financial snoozefest)? Surf over to: https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/ 

📚 Prefer your reading with chai in one hand and market wisdom in the other? Now available on Amazon Kindle

• Stock Market Decoded - A Beginner's Guide to Smart Investing by P. Shirley — perfect for sounding smarter than your portfolio at dinner parties.

• Money Money Money – Tickling You into an Investing Habit by P. Shirley — the nudge your lazy rupees have been waiting for. 

Want to open an account with Mirae Asset Sharekhan? 

Got burning questions about bulls, bears, or bizarre market behaviour?

Ping us at: stockmarketpedia4u@gmail.com

WhatsApp:  8300840449

 © 2025 Stock Market Pedia. All Rights Reserved

Capital Market Chronicles – Episode 273: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – HARMONIC PATTERNS (Part III)

 🌟 Capital Market Chronicles – Episode 273: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – HARMONIC PATTERNS (Part III) 📐📊

“Simple patterns teach the deepest lessons.” 📘📈

Before butterflies start flapping 🦋 and crabs begin crawling 🦀 all over your charts…

Let’s meet the basics.

Because in harmonics, simple doesn’t mean weak — it means reliable.

🔷 ABCD Pattern – The Foundation

The ABCD pattern is harmonic kindergarten 🎒
And yes — it still works frighteningly well.

Structure:

• AB: Impulse move 🚀

• BC: Retracement (the “is this over already?” phase 🤔)

• CD: Projection similar to AB

📌 Key Idea:
👉 AB ≈ CD

That’s it.
No drama.
No overthinking.

What this pattern quietly teaches traders:

🧘 Patience — waiting for completion
⚖️ Symmetry — structure matters
📏 Discipline — close enough is not enough

Simple.
Elegant.
Completely unforgiving if you rush it 😅

🔶 Gartley Pattern – The Classic

The Gartley pattern is recognised by its clean “M” (bearish) or “W” (bullish) shape — and it’s been humbling traders since the 1930s 📉📈.

Structure:
X → A → B → C → D

Key Fibonacci relationships:

• B ≈ 61.8% retracement of XA

• D completes near the 78.6% retracement

Why traders keep coming back to the Gartley:

✔ Clear structure
✔ Well-defined reversal zone
✔ Excellent risk control (your stop-loss actually makes sense 🛑)

But a gentle reminder ☝️
A Gartley without correct ratios is just…
a nice-looking shape 😄📐

And markets don’t pay for artwork.

🧠 Final Thought

Master the ABCD and Gartley, and everything else starts to feel less intimidating.

Harmonics reward those who respect the basics —
and punish those who skip class 🧑‍🏫😅

📖 Next Episode:
When markets get extreme — Butterfly, Crab & Deep Crab patterns 🦋🦀📊

⚠️ Disclaimer: This Blog is for general guidance only and does not replace personalised financial advice.

 🌐 Stay tuned to Our Blog  https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/home/blog — where we decode the stock market one laugh at a time. 😎💰

📖 Craving deeper dives and serious know-how (minus the financial snoozefest)? Surf over to: https://www.stockmarketpedia.in/ 

📚 Prefer your reading with chai in one hand and market wisdom in the other? Now available on Amazon Kindle

• Stock Market Decoded - A Beginner's Guide to Smart Investing by P. Shirley — perfect for sounding smarter than your portfolio at dinner parties.

• Money Money Money – Tickling You into an Investing Habit by P. Shirley — the nudge your lazy rupees have been waiting for. 

Want to open an account with Mirae Asset Sharekhan? 

Got burning questions about bulls, bears, or bizarre market behaviour?

Ping us at: stockmarketpedia4u@gmail.com

WhatsApp:  8300840449

 © 2025 Stock Market Pedia. All Rights Reserved