🌟 Capital Market Chronicles – Episode 284: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – MARKET INTERNALS (Part IV)
“When everyone agrees, risk quietly increases.” ⚠️📊
Because markets are emotional machines.
📊 1. Put–Call Ratio (PCR)
Measures puts vs calls.
High PCR → fear dominates.
Low PCR → optimism dominates.
Extremes matter most.
When everyone buys protection, panic may be near exhaustion.
When everyone buys calls, optimism may be overpriced.
Markets reverse at emotional extremes — not at comfort.
💰 2. Margin Debt
Tracks borrowed money used to buy stocks.
Rising margin debt during a bull run:
-
Signals confidence
-
But also leverage risk
High leverage amplifies gains.
And magnifies pain.
Excessive margin debt often appears near market peaks.
Because optimism loves borrowing.
🐂 Bull vs 🐻 Bear Conditions
In bull markets:
Strong breadth + healthy sentiment = sustainable strength.
In bear markets:
Extreme fear can signal potential bottoms.
Sentiment doesn’t predict timing.
But extremes often mark turning zones.
Psychology is invisible in price charts.
But it is visible in internals.
And ignoring sentiment is like ignoring weather before sailing.
Next: Practical application, divergences, and limitations.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This Blog is for general guidance only and does not replace personalised financial advice.
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